Webinar: Emergency Preparedness Planning Before and During a Crisis

October 16, 2020
12:00 PM - 1:00 PM
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The current COVID-19 pandemic has kick-started a world of forecasting and “modeling” designed to anticipate the need for scarce medical resources. Across the country, modelers are producing estimates for leadership that have been orders of magnitude wrong, like in the case of the depletion of hospital beds.

In Emergency Preparedness, many risk managers are locked into a deterministic model, but at their core, they are based on single-point estimates of various “uncertain” variables. These assumptive single-point estimates are used throughout the spectrum of problems and response scenarios healthcare professionals face, from estimating available hospital beds, mortality expectation, general population evacuation, medical special needs sheltering, etc. In almost every case, there is considerable front-end debates and meetings to generate “planning factors” and “rate-limiting factors”. In other words, everyone is looking for “the number”.

In this webinar, we will review the history of these planning efforts over the last 15 years and glance at some stochastic models we’ve employed based on distributions of data with @RISK. Utilizing Monte Carlo simulation in statistical methods has been validated by real-world results in providing the small efforts in formulating a better approach.

Presented by:

Henry Yennie, MSW

Mr. Yennie is a Program Manager with the Louisiana Department of Health. Mr. Yennie supports the State Health Officer and the Director of Emergency Preparedness. In this capacity, Mr. Yennie is responsible for development and maintenance of key information systems supporting ESF 8 activities and supporting senior staff in their ongoing preparedness planning activities. Additional responsibilities include the development of various models in support of forward planning. These include hospital evacuation models, generator fuel supply forecasting for healthcare facilities during events, and fatality and cemetery disruption modeling post-event. Mr. Yennie has over 30 years of professional experience in behavioral health, child welfare, managed care and other specialized areas in healthcare.

 

This program has been approved for:

Florida Board of Nursing: CE Broker Approval # 20-712297 – 1 Hour General

This meeting has been approved for a total of 1.0 contact hours of Continuing Education Credit toward fulfillment of the requirements of ASHRM designations of FASHRM (Fellow) and DFASHRM (Distinguished Fellow) and towards CPHRM renewal. 

 

Tickets

$0.00 Member Registration

$50.00 Non Member Registration